martes, 24 de septiembre de 2013

NFL: Oakland Raiders@Denver Broncos (23/09/13)

The Broncos have won seven consecutive regular-season home games, straight-up and against the spread. They’re giant 14.5-point favorites to make it eight in a row on Monday against the Oakland Raiders.
Denver won both meetings with Oakland last season by an average score of 31-10 but Oakland has domainated ATS here lately (6-1 ATS in seven trips to Mile High).
Peyton Manning is off to a brilliant start in his second season in Denver. Manning has thrown nine touchdowns the Broncos’ opening two wins over the Ravens and Giants.
The Raiders are coming off their first win of the season pulled away from the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday and have played better than most expected early in the season.
Denver went 3-1 against the spread as a double-digit favorite last season. The Raiders have covered the spread in 13 of their last 20 games as double-digit underdogs.
The Broncos are 9-1 SU, 7-3 ATS in their past 10 games within the AFC West, but the Raiders have been even better (10-1 ATS past 11 road games against division opponents). However, on Monday nights, the Raiders have stumbled badly to a 2-8 ATS mark.

Monday Night Football Point Spread and Total: The Broncos were listed as -15.5-point Favorite at Bovada and other online sportsbooks, with the total listed at one point at 49.
According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 2-rated Broncos and the No. 28-rated Raiders in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 42-27 win for the Broncos on Monday.

Last time out for Oakland, they were a 19-9 winner as they battled the Jaguars at home. The Raiders covered in the match as a 3.5-point favorite, while 28 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Peyton Manning throttled the Giants defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 307 yards and 2 scores as Denver handed New York a 41-23 defeat.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Denver's No. 1-ranked offense, averaging 45 PPG, against a Raiders defense that ranks No. 5 this week at 15 PPG. The Broncos aerial game is averaging 376 yards per game, more than the Raiders secondary allows through the air, 180.5 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Raiders own the league's No. 1-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 23 yards per game when on the road. Denver, on the other hand, rates No. 24 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

A few Raiders at Broncos trends to consider:
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oakland's last 9 games
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Denver is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Denver is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

  1. [Back DEN-13.5@1.76][Stake = 4uds]>>+3.04uds

1 comentario:

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